Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.172755 0.194200 0.216652 0.241855 0.269303 0.298232 0.330972
2025-02-23 0.149344 0.179208 0.212027 0.250580 0.294427 0.342544 0.399134
2025-03-02 0.126201 0.160630 0.200138 0.248416 0.305387 0.370041 0.448504
2025-03-09 0.109463 0.147016 0.191819 0.248505 0.317564 0.398202 0.498663
2025-03-16 0.095373 0.134756 0.183477 0.247115 0.326898 0.422438 0.544219
2025-03-23 0.086702 0.128195 0.181202 0.252385 0.343845 0.455729 0.601095
2025-03-30 0.077395 0.119711 0.175504 0.252464 0.353692 0.480039 0.647147
2025-04-06 0.069339 0.112030 0.170047 0.252122 0.362457 0.502740 0.691318
2025-04-13 0.062412 0.105195 0.165050 0.251777 0.370766 0.524660 0.734636
2025-04-20 0.057116 0.100179 0.162078 0.253764 0.381907 0.550212 0.782921
2025-04-27 0.053825 0.097832 0.162626 0.260467 0.399430 0.584375 0.843010
2025-05-04 0.049576 0.093572 0.160003 0.262344 0.410116 0.609453 0.891433
2025-05-11 0.045856 0.089999 0.158402 0.265942 0.423815 0.639657 0.948475
2025-05-18 0.043874 0.089100 0.160771 0.275422 0.446119 0.682148 1.023073
2025-05-25 0.039442 0.083601 0.155554 0.273138 0.451220 0.700841 1.065532
2025-06-01 0.035975 0.079424 0.152104 0.273260 0.459665 0.724234 1.114789
2025-06-08 0.032553 0.074961 0.147834 0.271776 0.465502 0.743892 1.159078
2025-06-15 0.030751 0.073332 0.148136 0.277460 0.482187 0.779322 1.226088
2025-06-22 0.028160 0.069905 0.145113 0.277550 0.490208 0.802272 1.275729
2025-06-29 0.025740 0.066552 0.141956 0.277184 0.497378 0.823995 1.323879
2025-07-06 0.023544 0.063408 0.138929 0.276814 0.504405 0.845522 1.372005
2025-07-13 0.021889 0.061220 0.137465 0.278954 0.515372 0.873033 1.429197
2025-07-20 0.021021 0.060656 0.138951 0.286173 0.534610 0.913269 1.505616